Investor Exodus: Middle East ETFs Bleed Cash Amid Regional Unrest

Investor Exodus: Foreign investors made a significant retreat from U.S. equity funds linked to Saudi Arabia in October, setting a record for outflows as the region faced its worst violence in decades. The iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF witnessed an unprecedented net outflow of over $200 million, marking a 20% reduction from its holdings at the beginning of the month.

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) offering exposure to stocks in Qatar, the UAE, and Israel also experienced outflows, driven by concerns about regional instability. Investors, grappling with heightened risks in the Middle East, displayed a cautious approach, leading to muted flows in these regions.

Torbjorn Soltvedt, Principal Analyst for the Middle East and North Africa at Verisk Maplecroft, noted, “Capital flight can be quite indiscriminate. It’s not necessarily 100% based on the fundamentals for each country. And so obviously, right now, there’s a perception that risks are increasing throughout the region. And we’re seeing a negative impact as a result of that.”

The iShares MSCI Qatar ETF lost $7.7 million, while the iShares MSCI UAE ETF suffered outflows of $2.75 million. ETFs tracking Israel, including the iShares MSCI Israel ETF, ARK Israel Innovative Technology ETF, and BlueStar Israel Technology, saw net outflows ranging from $2.5 million to $9.3 million since the October 7 attack by Hamas militants.

Investor Exodus

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The outflows from ETFs tracking Gulf countries significantly surpass those from most emerging markets during the same period. Israel, facing its second bout of turmoil this year, witnessed above-average outflows, impacting its Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) story.

Natalia Gurushina, Chief Economist for Emerging Markets at VanEck, highlighted the blow to Israel’s FDI attractiveness, stating, “The FDI story – Israel as a destination for tech investment – this took another hit, and a big one.”

Despite the turmoil, ETFs tracking the region have shown resilience, bouncing back from losses incurred just after the Hamas attack on October 7. However, the cash flight from these ETFs underscores cracks in investor confidence, revealing the persistent risk to regional economies amid ongoing conflicts. The article explores the potential economic impacts on Saudi Arabia and Israel, emphasizing the complexities faced by these economies as they strive for resilience and diversification.

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