Federal Reserve : The Fed’s fast overnight bank lending rate rise raised consumer rates again. This Fed inflation-controlling effort appears to be working. June’s CPI was 3%. The Fed’s preferred inflation index, the core PCE Index, fell 4.6%.
Both surpass the Fed’s 2% threshold, indicating rate hikes. “While the rejoicing over inflation’s descent from 9.1% to 3% over the past year is palpable, the trajectory of core inflation readings those which exclude the volatility of food and energy components to afford a more accurate analysis of inflationary trends – leaves much to be desired,” says Greg McBride, Bankrate.com’s esteemed chief financial analyst.
Michele Raneri, TransUnion Vice President and Head of US Research and Consulting, says, “We may be awaiting a prolonged period of cooled inflation before observing an end to the rise in interest rates.Three financial effects of Wednesday’s historic Federal Reserve rate rise.
The upside. Savings abound. Online high-yield savings accounts with FDIC-insured institutions pay 4.5% to 5% as of July 17. The national average is 0.52%. Optimizes idle fund returns.
An FDIC-insured bank certificate of deposit is a good investment for a month to a year. Better one-year CD rates were above 5% on July 17. Schwab.com offers short-term CDs for 4% to 5% and sometimes 5.35%.
Interest rates cause credit card issues. 20-year-high credit card rates. Bankrate.com reported 20.44% average credit card interest rate on July 19, down from 20.58% the week before. It’s up 6% since January.
Read More : Disability-Friendly Flying: New Rules Make Travel Easier for People with Disabilities
The average hides a deeper issue for consumers who carry a balance month-to-month and pay interest. This segment’s average interest rate was 22.16% in the Fed’s second quarter.
Minimal payers may delay paying high-interest debt. LendingTree chief credit analyst Matt Schulz says a $5,000 credit card loan at 22.16% will cost $1,298 in interest over 26 months. Schulz advises credit cards to knock off debt and brace for rate hikes.
Balance-transfer cards with 21-month 0% introductory rates save interest. Return the loan before the 0% introductory rate expires to avoid higher interest.
Finally, mortgages. These projects cost more. Freddie Mac reported a 6.78% 30-year mortgage rate in the week ending
July 20, up from 6.96%. Monthly mortgage payments rose from 5.54%. LendingTree estimates a $350,000 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at current rates would cost $281 more per month than last year’s 5.54%. $101,600 more mortgage payments.
Find the lowest fixed rate for homebuyers. Mortgage rates reflect investor inflation and economic projections. Inflation may fall, lowering mortgage and 10-year rates.
Fed-regulated home equity loans are fixed and variable. As of July 25, Bankrate reports home equity loans average 8.47% and lines of credit 8.58%.
To avoid rate hikes, McBride encourages homeowners who used a home equity line of credit for house improvements to discuss establishing the interest rate with their lender.
If not, refinance with a lower-rate home equity line of credit. the Federal Reserve’s inflation management has risen
interest rates, which may influence savings, credit card fees, and mortgages. Financial planning and wise choices help weather economic storms.
Our Reader’s Queries
What is the current core PCE index?
The previous lowest value was 3.39, but the actual value has dropped even further to 3.16. This represents a significant decrease of 0.63.
What does the PCE index tell us?
The PCE Price Index, also known as PCEPI, is a measure of the prices that consumers pay for goods and services, and how those prices change over time. This index is widely used as an indicator of inflation in the U.S. economy. By tracking changes in consumer prices, the PCEPI provides valuable insights into the overall health of the economy and helps policymakers make informed decisions about monetary policy.
What is the outlook for core PCE?
Despite the efforts of Fed officials, it seems that core PCE inflation won’t be sustainably returning to 2% until 2026. This was revealed in the summary of economic projections that was released during the Federal Open Market Committee’s meeting last week.
What is the US core PCE for 2023?
In November 2023, the Related Last Reference PCE Price Index Annual Change was 2.64, while the Core PCE Price Index Annual Change was 3.16. The Core PCE Price Index stood at 120.09, and the PCE Price Index was at 121.22. These figures provide valuable insights into the state of the economy and can help inform decision-making for businesses and individuals alike.